Considerable discussion since Scott Brown's victory in Massachusetts has suggested that Obama might follow Bill Clinton's path: after governing from the left and being rebuked by the voters, he will moderate his message, reconnect with indpendents, and enjoy substantial two-term popularity.
After watching the SOTU address, I do not see that happening. For whatever reasons, Obama seems more fundamentally tied to the left than Clinton. He continues to push an agenda that independents do not share, and he castigates those who disagree with him as selfish, mean-spirited, or partisan. This is not the way to win over moderates.
Obama's presidency is headed for failure unless he abandons the far-left agenda.